DCF: theory and mechanics
How a DCF values a business: FCFF and FCFE, building the model step by step, multi-stage models, sensitivity tables and ESOP dilution.
DCF, relative valuation, sum-of-the-parts, and the mistakes that recur.
7 guides. Read in order, or jump to what you need.
How a DCF values a business: FCFF and FCFE, building the model step by step, multi-stage models, sensitivity tables and ESOP dilution.
Valuing a company against its peers with P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B and EV/sales: when to use each, and why similar companies trade at different multiples.
How to value a conglomerate segment by segment, then allow for debt, central costs and the holding company discount without double-counting.
Why banks, insurers, real estate, oil and gas and telecom need their own valuation metrics, and why EV/EBITDA should never be used for banks.
The two ways to estimate terminal value, Gordon growth and exit multiple, how to cross-check them, and why it dominates a DCF.
Ten common DCF mistakes, from a terminal growth rate above WACC to stale betas and false precision, and how to avoid each one.
Start from today's price and solve for the growth it needs. How to run a reverse DCF, an illustrative worked example, and how to judge whether the implied growth is realistic.