Climate value at risk (climate VaR)

    ESG & Governance

    An estimate of how much a company's or portfolio's value could fall under given climate scenarios.

    Climate VaR adapts the familiar Value at Risk idea to climate. It combines transition costs, such as carbon prices, with physical damage, under scenarios such as 1.5°C or 3°C of warming. Asset managers use it to compare portfolios and find concentrations of risk. Results depend heavily on the model and scenario chosen, so they are best used to compare, not as precise forecasts.

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